State of Nature Assumption
The unconscious belief about whether people are fundamentally selfish or fundamentally cooperative - and how that shapes everything else you think.
Also known as: Hobbesian vs Rousseauian worldview, Human nature assumption
What it means
In the 17th century, Thomas Hobbes argued that without laws and authority, human life would be “solitary, poor, nasty, brutish, and short.” People are fundamentally self-interested, he said, and only behave well because structures force them to. A century later, Jean-Jacques Rousseau offered the opposite view: humans are born naturally cooperative and compassionate, and it’s civilisation itself - with its inequality, property, and competition - that corrupts them.
This isn’t just an old philosophical debate. It’s a fork in the road that almost everyone has taken without realising it. Your position on this question - whether you lean Hobbesian or Rousseauian - quietly shapes your instincts about punishment, welfare, trust, authority, freedom, and virtually every political question you’ll ever encounter.
The important thing to understand is that most people have never consciously examined which side they’re on. The assumption was absorbed early - through family, culture, experience, media - and now operates as an invisible foundation beneath everything else. It doesn’t feel like an assumption. It feels like reality.
You might know this as…
“People are basically good” versus “If men were angels, no government would be necessary.”
In the real world
Crime and punishment. Someone with a Hobbesian worldview hears about rising crime and instinctively reaches for stronger deterrents - more police, harsher sentences, tighter control. The logic is clear: people will misbehave unless the cost of misbehaving is high enough. Someone with a Rousseauian worldview hears the same news and asks what’s broken in the system - poverty, inequality, lack of opportunity - because their starting assumption is that people don’t naturally choose to harm others. Same data, completely different policy instincts, and the underlying assumption is never stated.
The welfare debate. Ask whether unemployment benefits should be generous or minimal and watch the state of nature assumption do its work. The Hobbesian instinct says: make benefits too comfortable and people won’t bother working, because people are fundamentally self-interested. The Rousseauian instinct says: most people want to contribute and will return to work when they can, so a safety net is compassion, not a trap. Both sides think they’re arguing about economics. They’re actually arguing about human nature.
Trust in institutions. When a new regulation is proposed - say, tighter rules on social media companies - the Hobbesian says: of course we need this, corporations will exploit every gap they can find. The Rousseauian says: most businesses want to do the right thing, and over-regulation stifles good actors along with bad ones. Again, the policy argument is really a proxy for a deeper disagreement about what people (and the organisations they build) will do when nobody is watching.
How to spot it
Listen for assumptions about what people would do without rules. “People will always take advantage” is Hobbesian. “Most people want to do the right thing” is Rousseauian. Neither is being argued for - it’s being taken as obvious. That’s the tell. When someone treats their view of human nature as a fact rather than a position, you’re hearing this assumption at work.
How to spot it
Listen for assumptions about what people would do without rules. 'People will always take advantage' is Hobbesian. 'Most people want to do the right thing' is Rousseauian. Neither is being argued for - it's being taken as obvious. That's the tell. When someone treats their view of human nature as a fact rather than a position, you're hearing this assumption at work.
The thought to hold onto
You can tell a lot about someone's politics by asking them one question: do you think people are basically good or basically selfish? Most people have never consciously chosen their answer - but it's shaping everything else they believe.
Why it matters now
Almost every major political debate - crime, welfare, immigration, surveillance, regulation - rests on an unspoken assumption about human nature. When politicians argue about policy, they're often really arguing about whether people can be trusted. Making this assumption visible is one of the most powerful things you can do to understand why people disagree.